The purpose of this research is to investigate Slovenian Armed Forces (SAF) ammunition forecasting methods and determine if the current planning method can and will be capable of supporting the future military challenges of the SAF, as part of the...
This monograph discusses the use of the U.S. Southern Command Small Wars Operational Research Directorate (SWORD) model along with traditional intelligence preparation of the battlefield (IPB) to forecast the direction of intra-state conflicts at...
A new environment, a new paradigm faces United States policy and decision makers. The bipolar world of superpower control and confrontation has been replaced with an unipolar world lead by the United States. A rapid evolution is occurring. A...
The Army expends billions of dollars in resources to provide the right repair parts at the right place and time. Despite this enormous expenditure, the Army's sustainment system fails to accomplish this task. The subject of this monograph is the...
Discusses the relationship between the period of a forecast and absolute accuracy, the presentation of long range forecasts, forecasts issued by the weather information branch, the method of preparation and research.
The term "disruptive technology" is used to in the 2004 US National Defense Strategy and 2006 US National Security Strategy as a concern of the US Government. A study of potential disruptive technologies that will affect the way war in the future...
The Joint Non-Kinetic Effects Model (JNEM) is a computer based simulation for training Division and Corps Commanders and Staffs in a manner that accurately replicates the complexities of interacting with civilian populations. The model replicates...
This study analyzes the nature and extent of use of the Correlation of Forces and Means (COFM) in Soviet operational and tactical decision making. It discusses the historical and military- scientific forces that compel the soviets to use...
The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However, this forecast form limits the useful information that can be communicated to the decision maker. This study investigates the utility of replacing...
Planning is the crystallizing of the Will to act. In its minor functioning, planning results in decisions. In its major functioning, planning results in a set of decisions that constitute a plan. As a function, planning is an ordering of decisions....
The near-aircraft-divert, due to adverse weather while I was on a NATO deployment in Istres France, opened my eyes to how precise my terminal aerodrome forecast had to be for mission success. From April 1998 to August 1998 I was in Istres France,...
The Department of Defense emphasis on stability operations caused the United States Army to change its operational concept to Full Spectrum Operations (FSO). The acknowledgment of the importance of stability operations however, does not translate...
The objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of a Sparing To Availability (STA) generated Class IX repair parts stockage 1ist. This STA generated Class IX stockage list could be used either during the initial provisioning and fielding...
The purpose of this monograph is to justify the change in staff structure for Army brigades in order to mitigate the complexity of the Peace Operations environment. With peace operations increasing in frequency, Brigade Combat Teams (BCTs) will...
The U.S. Army Infantry Division (Light) will transform the American approach to the use of force in Third World conflicts during the 1990s. As the mainstay of strategic U.S. conventional reserves, the Infantry Division (Light) was designed to deter...
The beginning of the 20th century marked a departure point for the United States (U.S.) in several ways. Technological and scientific advances that would continue to influence the U.S. for decades occurred with seeming regularity. For the citizens...
The construct for predictive analysis is based on the unfounded assumption that technologies and sound analysis will dissipate uncertainty in war. U.S. military doctrine shows an expectation for prediction from the intelligence process; it assumes...
Hybrid threat actors seek to master unrestricted operational art in order to reconcile overmatch and protect or advance their interests. As interest-based rational actors, hybrid threats translate strategic intent into unrestricted distributed...
A Revolution in Military Logistics is a necessary precursor to the Revolution in Military Affairs. Army and the Department of Defense senior leaders have affirmed and reinforced this idea in logistics literature throughout the past two years. What,...