The purpose of this study is to determine why intelligence officers acting as battalion S-2 have difficulty predicting the enemy. It hypothesizes that two causes: lack of experience of the principal officers conducting IPB and inadequate emphasis...
This monograph finds that the US Army's decision making process taught in its schools and branch courses relies too heavily on an iterative analytical method called the Deliberate Decision Making Process or DDMP. Within this process there exists a...
Why has an S2 never won a wargame when playing predicted enemy courses of action against a friendly course of action during the Military Decision Making Process (MDMP)? Why did the V Corps commander during Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) respond to...
Presidential Study Directive-10 directed executive agencies to improve efforts in preventing human atrocities. Conflict analysis has identified that internal conflict has significant adverse impacts on civilian populations. Apart from increased...
This thesis explores a possible model to help predict the participation of countries in coalitions aimed at military interventions. The model is composed of six factors drawn from modern political science and international relations theories, as...
Non-Governmental Organizations, research and academic institutions, charities, and international organization efforts to track and monitor activities and conditions in high-risk settings provide uniquely useful indicators and warning of possible...
Recent changes to Army publications have emphasized the importance of gaining flying experience, particularly in earning designation as pilot-in-command, for commissioned Army aviators. Based on those changes, this study evaluated the factors that...
This monograph examines the ability of intelligence preparation of the battlefield (IPB) to provide predictive intelligence. IPB is the foundation of tactical intelligence and plays a major role in tactical planning prior to the battle. There is a...
From 1990 to 2010, China's military experienced a massive modernization effort. U.S. efforts to determine the scale and scope of this effort were incorrect. In the case of the People's Liberation Army Air Forces (PLAAF), advanced technology and a...
Fundamental to military planning is accurate prediction of ammunition requirements to support combat operations. Although this is a recognized fact, it is an area of planning with many uncertainties, misconceptions, and a widespread lack of...
F-16 aircraft maintenance metrics and F-16 unit mishaps are examined in an effort to determine if there is a correlation between the two sets of data. Using active duty units from 2000-2008, nine common U.S. Air Force maintenance metrics of similar...
The United States Army Reserve (USAR) provides forces critical to the success of the Regular Army and to support national military strategy as an operational force. The USAR continues to confront issues associated with a volunteer force serving in...
Since the demise of the Soviet Union, the United States has faced increasing pressure from other countries to take the lead in resolving regional conflicts. As a result, much debate has occurred on determining when to enter a conflict and not much...
This thesis examines predictions journalists made during the Gulf War, to include whether or not force would be used, and, if so, how. Predictions that might have caused security violations were examined, as was the military's use of the media to...
These 1928 regulations contain information pertaining to the analysis of drill and target practice, rules governing the conduct of all Coast Artillery Corps target pracctice . . .
These 1925 regulations contain information pertaining to the analysis of drill and target practice, rules governing the conduct of all Coast Artillery Corps target pracctice . . .
This thesis examines the lethality of laser-directed energy weapons in causing structural failure to mechanically loaded laminated composites in helicopters. The analysis is based on a three-dimensional numerical finite element model of a...
The construct for predictive analysis is based on the unfounded assumption that technologies and sound analysis will dissipate uncertainty in war. U.S. military doctrine shows an expectation for prediction from the intelligence process; it assumes...
This is a theoretical paper on campaign planning. The paper examines the processes and principles involved in campaign plan formulation and modification within the context of all three levels of war. A series of theoretical models are used to...
The US Army intelligence community, recognizing the urban combat challenge, is revising intelligence techniques to provide analysts with a better methodology for urban combat. This paper examines current techniques for analysis and determines if...